Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.476290 0.544521 0.618137 0.703349 0.799147 0.903397 1.025312
2025-05-11 0.368840 0.460925 0.568351 0.702442 0.864810 1.054506 1.292329
2025-05-18 0.290995 0.395210 0.525922 0.700739 0.927089 1.208790 1.584247
2025-05-25 0.234909 0.345033 0.492824 0.703469 0.993358 1.375233 1.912680
2025-06-01 0.194049 0.306786 0.467928 0.711475 1.065786 1.557043 2.282842
2025-06-08 0.158822 0.269430 0.437296 0.705395 1.116104 1.713054 2.635002
2025-06-15 0.136342 0.246874 0.424115 0.721740 1.199384 1.923440 3.086448
2025-06-22 0.113474 0.219072 0.397749 0.712703 1.241200 2.075017 3.464863
2025-06-29 0.098314 0.201468 0.384895 0.722910 1.313531 2.279524 3.943946
2025-07-06 0.081939 0.178330 0.358477 0.705439 1.336375 2.405323 4.307480
2025-07-13 0.073904 0.169649 0.356604 0.730839 1.435310 2.665601 4.916109
2025-07-20 0.067251 0.162445 0.356220 0.758475 1.540614 2.945659 5.582360
2025-07-27 0.059228 0.150916 0.345827 0.765963 1.610525 3.172124 6.179774
2025-08-03 0.051678 0.138908 0.332516 0.765650 1.665235 3.376030 6.755169
2025-08-10 0.045158 0.127947 0.319629 0.764240 1.717252 3.579297 7.346920
2025-08-17 0.039898 0.118967 0.309640 0.767476 1.778717 3.805669 8.001108
2025-08-24 0.035699 0.111820 0.302684 0.776329 1.852607 4.062456 8.734838
2025-08-31 0.031212 0.102869 0.289887 0.769863 1.892407 4.253930 9.355011
2025-09-07 0.028524 0.098425 0.287535 0.787643 1.987501 4.566328 10.242500
2025-09-14 0.024927 0.090428 0.274672 0.777907 2.018753 4.747328 10.874321
2025-09-21 0.022631 0.085928 0.270366 0.788995 2.099516 5.040618 11.763101
2025-09-28 0.019531 0.078034 0.255316 0.770093 2.106357 5.172797 12.318640
2025-10-05 0.018331 0.076307 0.257592 0.797618 2.229616 5.573995 13.486910